Ensuring AI enhances strategic judgement rather than replacing it, preserving the human edge at the centre of high-performance leadership.
As Founder & CEO of Pareto Economics, he leads one of the most advanced strategic intelligence firms in the world. His proprietary Global Power Index assesses 194 countries through six core dimensions of national power, enabling clients to anticipate global change, protect assets, and seize opportunity before others see it. Trusted by world-leading organisations such as NATO, HSBC, Vanguard, Shell, Stena Bulk, Telia, OP Financial Group, the European Commission, and JP Morgan, Murati equips decision-makers to lead with conviction despite volatility.
With 250+ strategic publications and audiences in more than 120 countries, his insights have shaped the thinking of CEOs, investors, policymakers, and national security leaders. Murati is widely recognised for his ability to decode macro geoeconomic complexity, helping leaders not only understand the world, but actively shape it.
He ensures AI enhances strategic judgement rather than replacing it, preserving the human edge at the centre of high-performance leadership. As a Visiting Professor at the Helsinki Geoeconomics Institute, he merges theoretical depth with practical strategy, informed by a multidisciplinary foundation spanning anthropology, political economy, human rights, security studies, financial crime, and emerging technology governance.
A powerful and captivating keynote presence, Murati is known for his clarity, originality, and counterintuitive insights. He does not simply inform audiences, he transforms how they think, decide, and lead.
2026 – Themes & Topics
2026 – Themes & Topics
China’s fifthteen five Year Plan will be a major business driver for 2026.
Every five years China announces their policy, fiscal, technological and geopolitical direction and agenda for the next 5 years. 2026 will be the 15th time they have done this and it will have major ramifications on supply chains, tech innovation, business openness, and leadership challenges. Using the Global Power Index Prof. Murati has already crunched the numbers and has already provide analysis for clients on what this initiative means for global business and investing.
Rising Government Debt is going to be a catalyse for major economic volatility in 2026
If more government revenue is going into paying off debt, then less is going towards public services and this funding shortfall will have major social, business, investment and policy ramifications. Public debt is at record highs, and we will see major market dislocations in 2026. Italy, Egypt, Japan, Argentina, the UK and the US are countries to watch.
Germany’s bet on public spending on infrastructure development will fail, thus exacerbating the economic degradation and social discontent
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz is spending unprecedented sums to reinvigorate German’s economy through public sector infrastructure financing. Although a good aim the money is not being spend on the right things and will inevitably be wasted causing even more frustration and more of Germany leaning towards alternative political leadership.
A US invasion of Venezuela will lock the US into another sticky forever war causing increased geopolitical instability
For reasons which have not yet been substantiated the US in the process of engaging military assets on Venezuela. Depending on the intensity of this military engagement this will ignite multiple responses from other governments, financial markets and business. The pro peace president will have tarnished his promiss of bringing pease to the world and this will compound the migrant crises that the US government is facing by dispelling even more civilians form their homes and into neighbouring countries causing already challenged public services to feel even more strain and face more social pressures.